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The Open Visor

A paper for thinking without blinkers

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Here, irregularly and when something surfaces, shorter work appears alongside the editions. No calendar, no promise of a regular column. Only what surfaces — and only then.

★ Lead article · new

★ Opinion · discussion open

★ Recommended to reread — Edition Europe

A five-part series on Europe, two scenario calculations (Netherlands + Germany) with numbers, and a manifesto that started it all.

Recently published
The haze of growth

11 October 2026 · ANALYSIS

The haze of growth

GDP is growing, but real spending room is shrinking. What the cabinet's decisions cost an average household in real goods, including the second and third order and the American blockade of ASML: of €13,678, €8,515 remains.

The course of the Netherlands

10 October 2026 · PLAN

The course of the Netherlands

Earn first, then distribute. A small government, a simple tax system, work that always pays and entrepreneurs who stay: the course in six steps, with the eleven holes that must be closed at once.

Half a billion to export knowledge

5 October 2026 · ANALYSIS

Half a billion to export knowledge

The small inventor pays. The multinational cashes in. And the factory ends up abroad. How the Netherlands’ largest innovation scheme is making the country poorer.

From hollowing-out to rebuilding

30 September 2026 · Forecast

From hollowing-out to rebuilding

How the Netherlands and Europe are losing their productive core, what is needed for their own bank and their own Marshall Plan, and what is happening to tourism

Vault door in rocky outcrop under an ancient oak, with keeper and key at dawn

Calvià, 11 August 2026 · Philosophy · What surfaces

The Thought in the Vault — why European innovation must withdraw

An innovative thought needs a carrier, an environment, means and time. Europe no longer supplies those four. Whoever wants to preserve something valuable builds a vault outside Europe — not an escape room, but a working installation from which a new generation can later draw. Why this is not flight, and why government reads it as flight.

Palma, 19 July 2026 · Political-sociological diagnosis · Edition 2 · Nova Democratia Edition

The press is the arena — how polarisation is manufactured before the crash

The talk-show is the modern Jacobin club. Six historical precedents (France 1789, Russia 1917, Weimar 1932, Cambodia 1975, Iran 1979, Venezuela 2013) show: in every phase-2 endgame the press produced polarisation rather than diagnosis.

Palma, 19 July 2026 · Political-economic forecast · Edition 2 — Tax policy

Five countries, five curves — forecast 2028-2055

France goes first (2028-2031), followed by the UK, Italy and Germany almost simultaneously (2033-2036), and Spain last (2035-2038). Five European phase-3 trajectories on one axis, anchored to Eurostat, Bundesbank, INSEE, ONS, ISTAT and INE.

Palma, 18 July 2026 · Political-economic forecast · Edition 2 — Tax policy

The Dutch Revolution — forecast 2028-2055

Four historical countries point to the same curve. Phase-3 explosion 2032-2035, most likely 2033-2034. Dutch debt is actually 65% of GDP, not 44%. Germany sits on the same line. Those who recognise the pattern can still break it.

Palma, 5 July 2026 · Research & analysis · Nitrogen Edition

Let the politicians go back to nature school first

Why three plants see what three thousand four hundred buffer-zone maps no longer perceive. €20 billion for buffer zones — and the plants have long since moved north.

Palma, 5 July 2026 · Research & analysis · Climate Edition

Four hundred and fifty million euros for a hole in the ground

Zuidwending, HyStock, and the anatomy of a political waste. €450 million for a molecule that costs seventeen times more at the Dutch pump than the best alternative. Not market failure. Physics.

Malta, 3 July 2026 · Analysis · Tax policy case

Must the Netherlands follow?

Germany is cutting €10 bn/year and loosening its labour market. The Netherlands is doing the opposite. Whoever ignores the baseline matrix lets his industry sink.

Malta, 3 July 2026 · Analysis · Vote Impact case

The matrix of the exodus

A record number of millionaires is leaving Western Europe; Germany runs the steepest curve in the world. NZZ delivers the picture today — the Vote Impact model delivers the explanation. Party × Person × Baseline = Projection. An aircraft seat as a calculated outcome.

Mallorca, June 2026 · Triptych · Steering article

On the box or the luggage rack

Whoever waits until others see it, sits at the back. Three blocks — source, conversion, end system — all energy without subsidy. Three documents, one message.

Mallorca, June 2026 · Research & analysis

The thirty cents that flip Europe

Electric. Hydrogen. Fossil. Ethanol. Heat pump. Total comparison of every energy form for transport and heating, without a single cent of subsidy. One route wins by an order of magnitude.

Malta, June 2026 · The Daily Idea

What I leave behind

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