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The Open Visor

A paper for thinking without blinkers

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Here, irregularly and when something surfaces, shorter work appears alongside the editions. No calendar, no promise of a regular column. Only what surfaces — and only then.

★ Lead article · new

★ Opinion · discussion open

★ Recommended to reread — Edition Europe

A five-part series on Europe, two scenario calculations (Netherlands + Germany) with numbers, and a manifesto that started it all.

Recently published
Vault door in rocky outcrop under an ancient oak, with keeper and key at dawn

Calvià, 11 August 2026 · Philosophy · What surfaces

The Thought in the Vault — why European innovation must withdraw

An innovative thought needs a carrier, an environment, means and time. Europe no longer supplies those four. Whoever wants to preserve something valuable builds a vault outside Europe — not an escape room, but a working installation from which a new generation can later draw. Why this is not flight, and why government reads it as flight.

Palma, 19 July 2026 · Political-sociological diagnosis · Edition 2 · Nova Democratia Edition

The press is the arena — how polarisation is manufactured before the crash

The talk-show is the modern Jacobin club. Six historical precedents (France 1789, Russia 1917, Weimar 1932, Cambodia 1975, Iran 1979, Venezuela 2013) show: in every phase-2 endgame the press produced polarisation rather than diagnosis.

Palma, 19 July 2026 · Political-economic forecast · Edition 2 — Tax policy

Five countries, five curves — forecast 2028-2055

France goes first (2028-2031), followed by the UK, Italy and Germany almost simultaneously (2033-2036), and Spain last (2035-2038). Five European phase-3 trajectories on one axis, anchored to Eurostat, Bundesbank, INSEE, ONS, ISTAT and INE.

Palma, 18 July 2026 · Political-economic forecast · Edition 2 — Tax policy

The Dutch Revolution — forecast 2028-2055

Four historical countries point to the same curve. Phase-3 explosion 2032-2035, most likely 2033-2034. Dutch debt is actually 65% of GDP, not 44%. Germany sits on the same line. Those who recognise the pattern can still break it.

Palma, 5 July 2026 · Research & analysis · Nitrogen Edition

Let the politicians go back to nature school first

Why three plants see what three thousand four hundred buffer-zone maps no longer perceive. €20 billion for buffer zones — and the plants have long since moved north.

Palma, 5 July 2026 · Research & analysis · Climate Edition

Four hundred and fifty million euros for a hole in the ground

Zuidwending, HyStock, and the anatomy of a political waste. €450 million for a molecule that costs seventeen times more at the Dutch pump than the best alternative. Not market failure. Physics.

Malta, 3 July 2026 · Analysis · Tax policy case

Must the Netherlands follow?

Germany is cutting €10 bn/year and loosening its labour market. The Netherlands is doing the opposite. Whoever ignores the baseline matrix lets his industry sink.

Malta, 3 July 2026 · Analysis · Vote Impact case

The matrix of the exodus

A record number of millionaires is leaving Western Europe; Germany runs the steepest curve in the world. NZZ delivers the picture today — the Vote Impact model delivers the explanation. Party × Person × Baseline = Projection. An aircraft seat as a calculated outcome.

Mallorca, June 2026 · Triptych · Steering article

On the box or the luggage rack

Whoever waits until others see it, sits at the back. Three blocks — source, conversion, end system — all energy without subsidy. Three documents, one message.

Mallorca, June 2026 · Research & analysis

The thirty cents that flip Europe

Electric. Hydrogen. Fossil. Ethanol. Heat pump. Total comparison of every energy form for transport and heating, without a single cent of subsidy. One route wins by an order of magnitude.

Malta, June 2026 · The Daily Idea

What I leave behind

About VMB-EGS, the legacy of Nova Democratia

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